Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.014370 0.016708 0.019291 0.022353 0.025881 0.029819 0.034544
2026-01-04 0.011188 0.014289 0.018028 0.022863 0.028938 0.036313 0.045937
2026-01-11 0.008575 0.011884 0.016192 0.022193 0.030316 0.040909 0.055753
2026-01-18 0.006894 0.010269 0.014968 0.021955 0.032047 0.046053 0.066924
2026-01-25 0.005566 0.008848 0.013702 0.021355 0.033064 0.050238 0.077259
2026-02-01 0.004607 0.007769 0.012709 0.020922 0.034157 0.054554 0.088243
2026-02-08 0.003901 0.006946 0.011947 0.020672 0.035414 0.059177 0.100186
2026-02-15 0.003286 0.006157 0.011098 0.020117 0.036040 0.062793 0.110879
2026-02-22 0.002997 0.005882 0.011064 0.020917 0.039013 0.070580 0.129421
2026-03-01 0.002635 0.005408 0.010597 0.020858 0.040434 0.075823 0.144122
2026-03-08 0.002242 0.004806 0.009800 0.020057 0.040358 0.078345 0.154151
2026-03-15 0.001980 0.004422 0.009358 0.019867 0.041390 0.082980 0.168595
2026-03-22 0.001871 0.004346 0.009533 0.020956 0.045133 0.093298 0.195422
2026-03-29 0.001722 0.004158 0.009449 0.021501 0.047843 0.101922 0.219957
2026-04-05 0.001499 0.003767 0.008872 0.020902 0.048066 0.105546 0.234708
2026-04-12 0.001336 0.003487 0.008497 0.020694 0.049101 0.110961 0.253855
2026-04-19 0.001171 0.003174 0.008002 0.020135 0.049267 0.114518 0.269375
2026-04-26 0.001038 0.002917 0.007598 0.019730 0.049726 0.118755 0.286879
2026-05-03 0.000931 0.002710 0.007283 0.019496 0.050551 0.123893 0.307011
2026-05-10 0.000823 0.002481 0.006878 0.018973 0.050594 0.127212 0.323244
2026-05-17 0.000785 0.002442 0.006962 0.019729 0.053949 0.138783 0.360628
2026-05-24 0.000716 0.002301 0.006753 0.019673 0.055204 0.145377 0.386512
2026-05-31 0.000628 0.002088 0.006312 0.018916 0.054502 0.147008 0.400097